Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 7.670024 8.792690 10.039395 11.529403 13.265574 15.229219 17.624806
2025-01-05 6.183717 7.628471 9.366620 11.622530 14.488639 18.029067 22.765488
2025-01-12 5.224734 6.792142 8.789557 11.542405 15.270275 20.188836 27.245712
2025-01-19 4.528972 6.139871 8.289982 11.401478 15.841500 22.028570 31.441992
2025-01-26 4.173287 5.871396 8.232996 11.803178 17.144325 24.966747 37.528812
2025-02-02 3.845068 5.588556 8.102653 12.053680 18.219812 27.664708 43.596491
2025-02-09 3.629233 5.435879 8.129986 12.520043 19.649102 31.042742 51.185792
2025-02-16 3.257800 5.004678 7.684578 12.187981 19.753904 32.296025 55.391778
2025-02-23 2.984435 4.695409 7.391489 12.056494 20.152502 34.053259 60.680819
2025-03-02 2.751049 4.425470 7.130792 11.942056 20.551658 35.835539 66.237576
2025-03-09 2.533396 4.159891 6.849401 11.756343 20.792474 37.344700 71.466534
2025-03-16 2.325627 3.891715 6.537405 11.480273 20.829149 38.465262 76.066824
2025-03-23 2.262454 3.868890 6.650229 11.990500 22.408449 42.745445 87.850551
2025-03-30 2.142834 3.735916 6.555474 12.103897 23.235021 45.650780 97.194652
2025-04-06 2.007139 3.561843 6.369555 12.021246 23.656896 47.776390 105.144400
2025-04-13 1.876087 3.385077 6.162449 11.873971 23.925110 49.604108 112.692769
2025-04-20 1.827744 3.358612 6.235742 12.294012 25.430014 54.294826 127.837049
2025-04-27 1.763546 3.296141 6.233165 12.555979 26.621460 58.439869 142.359765
2025-05-04 1.728372 3.286889 6.333703 13.043750 28.370603 64.102851 161.808138
2025-05-11 1.608244 3.099566 6.060219 12.696437 28.169665 65.102397 168.995179
2025-05-18 1.518826 2.967582 5.889520 12.558922 28.443658 67.296155 179.870586
2025-05-25 1.438047 2.847320 5.733598 12.439243 28.746009 69.599455 191.480787
2025-06-01 1.356672 2.719961 5.552727 12.245036 28.843505 71.388443 201.913420